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n
Incidence rate (per 10,000 person-years)
Model 1
Model 2
Components
High WC
462
27.95
2.63 (1.39–4.97)*
1.92 (0.93–3.97)
High BP
456
18.74
1.58 (0.77–3.22)
1.37 (0.66–2.81)
Low HDL-C
1295
15.68
1.20 (0.66–2.18)
1.11 (0.61–2.01)
High TGs
1030
18.70
1.82 (1.00–3.34)*
1.68 (0.92–3.09)
High FPG
199
17.19
1.51 (0.53–4.26)
1.49 (0.53–4.22)
Dual combinations
High TGs and high WC
285
34.79
3.56 (1.78–7.10)*
2.70 (1.27–5.77)*
High FPG and high WC
39
21.53
1.70 (0.23–12.42)
1.37 (0.19–10.09)
Low HDL-C and high WC
269
27.12
2.42 (1.12–5.23)*
1.66 (0.71–3.85)
High BP and high WC
126
43.37
3.84 (1.62–9.13)*
2.52 (1.00–6.33)*
High TGs and high FPG
87
19.58
1.58 (0.38–6.61)
1.50 (0.36–6.28)
High TGs and low HDL-C
621
21.14
1.86 (0.99–3.49)*
1.68 (0.89–3.17)
High TGs and high BP
215
31.38
2.83 (1.29–6.16)*
2.27 (1.02–5.05)*
High FPG and low HDL-C
92
27.54
2.41 (0.74–7.83)
2.08 (0.64–6.80)
High FPG and high BP
36
42.33
3.79 (0.91–15.76)
3.35 (0.80-14.08)
Low HDL-C and high BP
190
31.47
2.67 (1.18–6.01)*
2.15 (0.94–4.90)
Metabolic syndrome
338
33.78
3.55 (1.84–6.87)*
2.82 (1.41–5.64)*
Incidence rate, number of incident type 2 diabetes cases divided by person-year follow up
Model 1 is adjusted for age and sex; model 2 is further adjusted for adulthood body mass index and family history of diabetes
WC waist circumference, SBP systolic blood pressure, DBP diastolic blood pressure, HDL-C high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, TGs triglycerides, FPG fasting plasma glucose
*P-value ≤ 0.05