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Table 5 Prediction of future glucose intolerance according to diagnostic tests at different postpartum periods (longitudinal)

From: The utility of diagnostic tests in the detection and prediction of glucose intolerance in the early and late postpartum period in women after gestational diabetes: a longitudinal cohort study

  Test characteristics (%)
Diagnostic test at 4–12 weeks PP Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV
(%)
NPV (%)
Prediction of glucose intolerance 1-year postpartum (n = 324)
Glucose tolerance defined by FPG and HbA1ca
 Fasting glucose (mmol/l) 22.3 96.4 80.6 64.9
 HbA1c (%) 21.5 87.5 53.8 62.2
 2 hr glucose (mmol/l) 10.1 96.9 68.4 61.6
 Fasting glucose and HbA1c 35.4 85.6 62.2 66.4
 oGTT 26.9 93.8 74.5 65.7
 oGTT and HbA1c 37.7 83.1 59.8 66.7
  Test characteristics (%)
Diagnostic test at 4–12 weeks PP Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%)
Prediction of glucose intolerance at 3-year postpartum (n = 69)
Glucose tolerance defined by FPG and HbA1ca
 Fasting glucose (mmol/l) 22.2 95.2 75.0 65.6
 HbA1c (%) 18.5 78.6 35.7 60.0
 2 hr glucose (mmol/l) 5.8 95.1 54.0 59.1
 Fasting glucose and HbA1c 37.0 76.2 50.0 65.3
 oGTT 22.2 92.9 66.7 65.0
 oGTT and HbA1c 37.0 73.8 47.6 64.6
  Test characteristics (%)
Diagnostic test at 1-year PP Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%)
Prediction of glucose intolerance at 3-year postpartum (n = 69)
Glucose tolerance defined by FPG and HbA1ca
 Fasting glucose (mmol/l) 59.3 80.5 66.7 75.0
 HbA1c (%) 29.6 90.5 66.7 66.7
 Fasting glucose and HbA1c 77.8 76.2 67.7 84.2
  1. PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value, PP postpartum, FPG fasting glucose, oGTT oral glucose tolerance test and HbA1c glycated hemoglobin
  2. aFPG and HbA1c was considered as the gold standard of pathological glucose tolerance at 1-year or 3-year postpartum. Normal glucose tolerance defined as FPG < 5.6 mmol/l or HbA1c < 5.7%; Pathological glucose intolerance defined as FPG ≥ 5.6 mmol/l or HbA1c ≥ 5.7%
  3. Pathological glucose intolerance includes few women with diabetes and this concerns 10 women at 1-year and 1 woman at 3-year postpartum. Due to the low number of women who had diabetes, we grouped them into pathological glucose intolerance and therefore did not use the term prediabetes
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